How to Avoid IRS Underpayment Penalties in Retirement (2026 Tax Guide)

With the April 15 tax deadline fast approaching, many taxpayers are wrapping up their 2025 filings — while others are filing for extensions.

But there’s a growing issue that’s catching more people off guard each year: IRS underpayment penalties.

According to a recent Wall Street Journal report, these penalties are rising sharply — especially among higher-income earners and retirees. If you were surprised by a penalty this year, now is the time to make sure it doesn’t happen again in 2027.

Let’s walk through what’s happening, why it matters, and how to avoid it.

Why IRS Underpayment Penalties Are Increasing

Recent data shows a significant jump in penalties:

  • Taxpayers earning $200,000–$500,000 paid about $1.3 billion in penalties in 2024

  • That’s 3x higher than in 2021

  • The number of affected filers rose 30% to nearly 3 million people

What’s Driving This Trend?

Two primary factors:

1. Higher Interest Rates

Underpayment penalties are tied to interest rates.

  • Around 3% in 2021

  • Increased to 7% in 2025

  • Dropping slightly to 6% in April 2026

Higher rates = higher penalties.

2. More Complex Income Streams

Historically, this mainly affected self-employed individuals.

Today, it increasingly impacts:

  • Retirees

  • Investors

  • High-income earners with variable income

What Is an Underpayment Penalty?

The IRS requires you to pay taxes as you earn income, not just when you file your return.

If you don’t:

  • Pay enough throughout the year, or

  • Pay on time

You may owe an underpayment penalty — essentially interest charged on unpaid taxes.

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Who Is Most at Risk?

You may be at higher risk if you have income without automatic withholding, such as:

  • Retirement account distributions

  • Roth conversion income

  • Social Security benefits

  • Dividends and interest

  • Capital gains from investments

  • Self-employment income

Example

If you:

  • Sell a fund in January with a $20,000 capital gain

  • Wait until the following April to pay taxes

You could owe penalties for each quarter that tax went unpaid.

Key IRS Safe Harbor Rules

To avoid penalties, you generally need to meet one of these thresholds:

Rule #1: Pay 90% of Current-Year Taxes

  • Pay at least 90% of what you owe for the current year

  • Payments can be through withholding or estimated taxes

Rule #2: Use the Safe Harbor Rule

If you pay based on last year’s taxes:

  • 100% of prior-year taxes (if income < $150,000)

  • 110% of prior-year taxes (if income ≥ $150,000)

💡 Important: These payments must be made throughout the year, not all at once.

Quarterly Estimated Tax Deadlines

If you’re required to make estimated payments, deadlines are:

  • April 15

  • June 15

  • September 15

  • January 15 (following year)

Payments are typically expected in equal installments.

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Why Retirees Are Especially Vulnerable

Many retirees assume taxes work the same as during their working years — but that’s often not the case.

Instead of paycheck withholding, retirees rely on:

  • Investment income

  • Retirement withdrawals

  • Strategic tax moves

Without proper planning, this can lead to unexpected penalties.

Common IRS Reporting Pitfall

The IRS often assumes income is earned evenly throughout the year.

This creates problems when income is lumpy, such as:

  • Large year-end Roth conversions

  • One-time capital gains

  • Big withdrawals late in the year

Even if you paid the correct tax, the IRS may still assess a penalty.

How to Fix It

File Form 2210 with Schedule AI, which shows:

  • When income was actually earned

  • When taxes were actually paid

5 Strategies to Avoid Underpayment Penalties

1. Increase Withholding

Taxes withheld from:

  • Paychecks

  • IRA distributions

…are treated as if they were paid evenly throughout the year — even if taken late.

💡 This is one of the easiest ways to avoid penalties.

2. Use the Safe Harbor Rule

Base your payments on last year’s taxes to simplify planning and reduce risk.

3. Make Timely Quarterly Payments

If required, ensure:

  • Payments are on time

  • Amounts are accurate

4. Plan Ahead for Large Transactions

Before:

  • Selling investments

  • Doing Roth conversions

  • Taking large withdrawals

…estimate the tax impact and plan payments accordingly.

5. Consider Strategic Year-End Withholding

Some retirees:

  • Take a late-year IRA distribution

  • Withhold a large portion for taxes

Because withholding is treated evenly, this can eliminate penalties — even without quarterly payments.

Can Penalties Be Waived?

In some cases, yes.

The IRS may waive penalties if you:

  • Recently retired

  • Became disabled

  • Meet other qualifying conditions

You can request a waiver using Form 2210.

Final Thoughts

Underpayment penalties are becoming more common — especially for retirees and high earners with complex income streams.

The key takeaway:

👉 It’s not just about paying taxes — it’s about paying them on time.

With proper planning, these penalties are completely avoidable.

Have a great week—and I’ll talk to you next Tuesday.

Written by Ryan Morrissey CFP®, CLU®, CHFC®, CMFC

Founder & Principal Advisor of Morrissey Wealth Management

Host of the Retire with Ryan Podcast

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