Retirement Reality Check, with Michael Sheldon, #256
This week on the show, I’m joined in person by investment veteran Michael Sheldon, who brings over 26 years of experience in the financial services industry. We dig into essential strategies for investing as you approach and enter retirement, covering asset allocation, diversification, income planning, and how to handle inevitable market volatility.
Whether you’re a pre-retiree, a recent retiree, or just looking to strengthen your investment approach, Michael offers some great actionable insights designed to help you build a resilient portfolio and stay on track toward your long-term financial goals.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
[04:52] Portfolio risk should change as you age, becoming more conservative in retirement.
[09:34] Why US large-cap stocks have outperformed recently.
[14:13] Pros and cons of target date funds, including fees, asset allocation, and international exposure.
[16:07] Michael warns against chasing high-yield dividend stocks.
[18:51] Private equity/real estate and understanding the liquidity and risks.
[31:15] Building income streams, reducing volatility, and portfolio standard deviation as you near retirement.
[43:18] Why maintaining discipline through corrections is key to investment success.
Strategies to Weather Market Ups and Downs
Any successful investment journey begins with a clear financial plan. Michael emphasizes the importance of understanding your spending needs in retirement. This process often starts with creating a detailed budget. A thorough assessment of current and expected future expenses helps determine the appropriate rate of return necessary to achieve your retirement goals.
Once you have a handle on your budget, you can set a target allocation that aligns your risk tolerance with your required investment returns. Your personal plan should factor in not only your goals and time horizon, but also your comfort level with market volatility.
Balancing Risk and Opportunity
As you move closer to retirement, adjusting your asset allocation becomes increasingly important. Younger investors can often afford to be more aggressive, allocating a larger portion (often 70% - 100%) to equities, since they have time to recover from market downturns. However, those approaching or in retirement generally benefit from more conservative portfolios, emphasizing capital preservation.
A common rule of thumb discussed was to maintain 3 - 5 years of living expenses in cash or short-term bonds. This buffer allows retirees to weather market downturns without selling equities at a loss. Still, every investor is different. Some retirees, especially those with higher risk tolerance or substantial resources, may maintain large allocations to equities. The key is to structure your portfolio to ensure you can meet your expenses even during extended market declines.
Don’t Chase Home Runs
The conversation stressed the dangers of seeking the next “big winner” stock. Instead, the focus should be on diversification, owning a broad mix of asset classes and geographies. While the past decade has seen U.S. large-cap growth stocks outperform other areas, this may not always be the case. International markets, small-cap stocks, and value stocks each tend to outperform at different points in the economic cycle.
Proper diversification can help reduce risk and smooth out returns, preventing the common mistake of buying high and selling low. It’s wise to avoid concentrating your portfolio too heavily in a single sector, country, or investment style.
Beyond Chasing High Dividends
One of the big myths in retirement investing is the need to load up on high-dividend-paying stocks for income. Michael cautioned against focusing solely on high yields, as these companies might carry more risk or have unsustainable business models. Instead, look for companies with a solid history of gradually increasing their dividends, which indicates healthy cash flows and business stability.
Active vs. Passive Management and Cost Considerations
The debate between active and passive management continues. For broad U.S. markets, low-cost index funds and ETFs have outperformed most active managers over time, thanks to lower costs and automatic portfolio updates.
Increasingly, investors are turning to ETFs for their tax efficiency, tradability, and lower fees compared to traditional mutual funds. As with any investment, understanding fees and their impact on long-term returns is vital.
The Power of Discipline
Finally, Michael shares a valuable perspective on market volatility. Historically, the S&P 500 has experienced average intra-year declines of over 14%, yet finished positive in 76% of years since 1980. Volatility is normal, and patient investors are rewarded for staying invested.
Resources Mentioned
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